Market Overview

The financial markets experienced a week marked by easing geopolitical tensions and rising expectations regarding monetary policy decisions. This general sense of calm is reflected across all asset classes, with particularly strong performances in US and Asian markets.

Monetary Policy and Fed Expectations

Shifting Rate Expectations

The market now expects three rate cuts this year, up from two previously anticipated. This more accommodating outlook has contributed to the relaxation observed in the markets.

Forthcoming Fed Meetings

Investors are closely watching the following key dates:

• July 30: Next meeting (no cut expected)
• September 17: First likely cut
• October 29: Second potential cut
• December 10: Third cut considered before the holidays

Impact on Interest Rates

US interest rates have dropped below 4.30%, marking the lowest level in a month and a half. This decline is accompanied by a weakening US dollar.

Asset Class Analysis

Gold: Technical Adjustment Within an Uptrend

Gold is undergoing a consolidation phase, temporarily losing its safe-haven status in this calmer context. The precious metal ended Friday at $3,274, precisely within the expected technical zone between $3,240 and $3,280.

Recommended strategy: Maintain a buy-on-dips approach, as the long-term trend remains bullish.

Stock Indices: Contrasting Performance

US and Asian Markets

• Broad positive performance across US indices
• Nikkei trending higher, benefiting from Asian momentum
• Overall market sentiment is optimistic

European Market: The CAC in Transition

The CAC 40 shows a more mixed profile. On Friday, the index broke through the critical 7,676-point level. This technical breakout needs to be confirmed on Monday to validate a lasting bullish signal.

Oil: Geopolitical Easing

Oil is benefiting from decreased geopolitical tensions, especially in the strategic Strait of Hormuz. This relaxation helps stabilize prices and reduce the geopolitical risk premium.

Cryptocurrencies: Aligning with Traditional Markets

The cryptocurrency market is following the positive trend of traditional markets. After panic last week, investors have taken advantage of pullbacks to increase their positions in assets like AVE and SOL.

Strategic approach: Prefer buying on pullbacks rather than chasing rallies; avoid FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) after 25% to 40% gains.

Investment Strategies and Portfolio Management

Core Principles

Building an Asset “Lineup”

• Assemble a “starting lineup” of assets for the week
• Keep substitutes ready on the sidelines
• Diversify to reduce dependence on a single asset

Position Management

• Capitalize when the market proves you right
• Step aside when the market proves you wrong
• Switch assets in case of a reversal

Trading Psychology

Golden rule: “Climb the stairs, descend the elevator” – Take small, steady profits and avoid large, sudden losses.

Practical Tips for Beginners

• Use the smallest possible position sizes
• Limit to 3-4 trades per week maximum
• Avoid the excitement of overtrading
• Build performance in percentage, not absolute value

Outlook and Opportunities

Short-Term Bullish Potential

With the market yet to retrace 50% of Monday’s bullish move, a rebound this weekend remains possible. Assets above the 50-period moving averages on the H4 chart offer the best opportunities.

Focus on Stocks

Diversification toward individual stocks is planned for September, notably:

• Tesla and other tech stocks
• French stocks like Carrefour (pay attention to recent performance)
• Alstom and other industrials

This approach will help investors more familiar with equities to better grasp market opportunities.

Education and Support

IVT Program: Accessible to Beginners

The IVT coaching program is tailored for beginners with:

• Structured training in three levels (beginner, intermediate, advanced)
• Over 50 short videos (5-10 minutes) on specific topics
• Step-by-step approach starting from basics

Special Promotional Offer

Available promo code: MORNING25

• 25% off until June 30
• Equivalent to 1.5 months free with a 6-month plan or 3 months free on an annual plan
• 14-day withdrawal right under consumer law

Conclusion and Objectives

This summer is an opportunity to:

• Define and write down your goals (personal and professional)
• Take time to learn without pressure
• Prepare for fall with a stronger foundation

Important reminder: No method guarantees success. Individual responsibility, organization, and discipline remain the keys to a successful investment approach.

The aim is not to "get rich quick" but to build a regular and sustainable performance curve, smoothing gains over the long term.