What I Do. What I Feel. And Why I Own It.
An Exceptional Day on the Markets
This Tuesday, June 3, marks a great day for investors with markets showing remarkable resilience. This performance is mainly due to the Trump administration stepping back on certain tariffs for Chinese goods, now postponed until August 31. This reversal mechanically supports rebounds in indexes and risk assets.
The US Dollar Under Pressure
At the same time, the US dollar continues to face downward pressure, a trend that directly benefits other asset classes. The weakness of the greenback means:
- Gold rising: nearly 3% increase overnight
- A surge in silver: over 5% gain during the session
- Support for US indexes through a mechanical effect
Looking at precious metals, it's interesting to note the comparative performance over one year: while silver has only risen 6% since June 2024, gold is soaring with a 40% increase over the same period.
Interest Rates: A Welcome Easing
US interest rates have started a healthy easing. After nearly reaching 4.60% last week, the 10-year yield has dropped back to 4.43%. This decrease helps support risk assets and partly explains the strength of equity markets.
Focus on the S&P 500: A Critical Zone
The S&P 500 is currently trading in a crucial technical zone around 5,900 points. For more than a week, the index has been moving between:
- Top resistance: 5,940 points
- Bottom support: 5,860 points
This range-bound setup suggests a tactical approach favoring selling on rebounds rather than buying. A drop below 5,860 points could trigger a sharper decline.
Cryptocurrencies: A Striking Mimicry with 2024
The cryptocurrency market continues to show a striking correlation with 2024. This "copy-paste" between 2025 and 2024 is remarkably precise, especially on the Total3 index, which reacted perfectly on its 50-day moving average.
This setup allowed for increased exposure on certain altcoins, notably Terra, which has already gained +4% since the move. The strategy is to reallocate profits made on other positions (Solana, Sui, BNB) to emerging opportunities.
Trading Philosophy: The Two-Shot Rule
A fundamental trading rule needs to be reiterated: the two-shot rule per plan. This approach helps distinguish persistence from stubbornness. Beyond two unsuccessful attempts on the same trading plan, it's time to question either the plan itself, the chosen asset, or the timing.
Portfolio Management: Avoid Over-Diversification
A common pitfall is over-diversifying your portfolio. Being too spread out is like "having a stake in nothing." The key philosophy: it's better to focus on 3 or 4 assets per week, with a clear understanding of the stakes, rather than scattering investments thinly.
Key points for an effective approach:
- Focused allocation on well-defined trends
- Mastered timing of entries
- Understanding of ongoing dynamics
- Acceptance of responsibility in case of mistakes
Personal Goals: The Key to Development
Beyond financial markets, it’s crucial to set concrete personal goals. Whether it’s learning a new language, developing a manual skill, or exploring a new field, these personal challenges enrich daily life and keep the learning spirit alive.
Recommended method:
- Set a precise monthly goal
- Dedicate 20-25 minutes a day
- Use available tools (smartphone, apps)
- Turn learning into a habit
Conclusion: Rights and Responsibilities
Markets, like life, teach us the importance of taking responsibility while allowing ourselves to succeed. Faced with economic uncertainty and the threat of additional taxes, managing your own capital is crucial.
This philosophy boils down to a few principles:
- Take responsibility in case of mistakes
- Allow yourself to succeed without imposter syndrome
- Stay focused on your goals
- Share your successes in a positive way
Today’s session perfectly shows that opportunities exist for those who know how to seize them, provided they stay disciplined and humble before the markets.
Join me this evening for the weekly live session on Twitch, a chance to dive deeper into these topics and discuss investment strategies.