Futures Indices
Dow Futures: -0.10%
S&P 500 Futures: 0.00%
Nasdaq 100 Futures: 0.00%
US 10-Year Yield: 4.46% (-2 bps)
Calm before the storm: markets digest US-China trade talks as they await tomorrow’s key inflation data.
Market Sentiment
Fear & Greed Index: 62
VIX (S&P 500 Volatility): 17.22
Market Environment
Markets are steady this Tuesday, with investors keeping a close eye on trade negotiations between the United States and China, which started Monday in London. Central to the talks: rare earth exports and a potential easing of Chinese restrictions. Negotiations continue today.
Jim Reid (Deutsche Bank) points out the unusual calm among major assets after two months of high volatility, adding that this lull could be short-lived, with inflation (CPI) data due tomorrow and a bond auction set for Thursday.
Why is this important?
There are two main stakes: easing trade tensions could boost overall sentiment, while inflation data (CPI Wednesday, PPI Thursday) will directly shape Fed monetary policy expectations. The market is searching for clear signals about the path of interest rates.
Stocks to Watch
INSM (-27.33%): Liquidia and United Therapeutics slide after Insmed’s positive interim results in pulmonary arterial hypertension.
CTXR (-27.73%): Sharp drop after a $15.8M fundraising.
SJM (-8.09%): Disappointing profit forecast, immediate penalty.
AIRS (-14.85%): Drop after a $12M share issue.
SEZL (-6.17%): Tanks after an antitrust lawsuit against Shopify.
MULN (+8.04%): Rises after a settlement with GEM Group.
CASY (+10.41%): Better-than-expected Q4 results and a dividend hike.
Rating Changes
Upgrades
- AMZN ($AMZN) → Upgraded to "Buy" by William O’Neil & Co.
- CRWD ($CRWD) → Upgraded to "Outperform" by Daiwa, target raised to $500 (from $400).
- VIK ($VIK) → Upgraded to "Buy" by William O’Neil & Co.
- YUM ($YUM) → Upgraded to "Buy" by Redburn Atlantic, target raised to $177 (from $145).
Neutral
- AFRM ($AFRM) → "Buy" maintained by President Capital, target raised to $79 (from $63).
- ORLY ($ORLY) → "Overweight" maintained by Morgan Stanley, target reduced to $105.33 (from $1580).
Downgrades
- ACGL ($ACGL) → Downgraded to "Hold" by Jefferies, target lowered to $100 (from $106).
- MANH ($MANH) → Downgraded to "Neutral" by Redburn Atlantic, target cut to $200 (from $270).
- WBD ($WBD) → Downgraded to "Neutral" by President Capital, target lowered to $10.36 (from $11).
Conclusion & Key Events
To Watch Today:
No major macroeconomic indicators. US-China trade talks continue.
Expected volatility in:
Sectors linked to inflation (retail, consumer staples)
Tech stocks awaiting CPI
Bonds with the 30-year US auction on Thursday
To sign up
Have a great session everyone
Sylvain Mouilhaud: Stock Coach
