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December 5, 2025 - Third Party

US PREMARKET ACTIONS: December 5, 2025

Futures Indices

  • Dow Futures: +0.02%

  • S&P 500 Futures: +0.19%

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +0.39%

Market Environment

Markets start the day on a positive note as investors await the latest inflation data, hoping for more clarity on the Fed's next moves. Household income and spending data will be released, with both expected to rise by +0.4%, while the PCE index (headline and core) is anticipated at +0.3% for the month.

A key indicator of consumer sentiment (University of Michigan Sentiment) will also be published: it is expected at 52.0 for December vs. 51.0 in November.

“Markets showed a slight upward bias yesterday as a solid set of US data prompted investors to anticipate fewer rate cuts in 2026.”
— Henry Allen, Deutsche Bank

On the bond side, yields are edging higher with the US 10-year at 4.11% (+0.27%). Oil is down slightly (–0.12%) while precious metals continue their rebound (silver +1.73%).

Stocks to Watch

** Rubrik (RBRK) +17%**
Surged after an impressive Q3: revenue up 48% and free cash flow at $76.9M (vs. $15.6M in 2024). Upwardly revised outlook for Q4 and FY2026, with revenue projected at $1.28B.

** ChargePoint (CHPT) +12%**
EV charging specialist beats expectations: revenue at $106M (+6%), improved margins, and a strong reduction in debt after the quarter.

** Ulta Beauty (ULTA) +6%**
Very strong Q3, with sales and profits exceeding forecasts. The company raised its annual outlook, targeting $12.3B in revenue and EPS between $25.20 and $25.50.

** Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -9%**
Mixed results and disappointing guidance. Expected Q1 revenue ($9B–$9.4B) is well below forecasts, as are cash flow projections for the year.

** SentinelOne (S) -8%**
Despite a good Q3, Q4 revenue projections disappoint. The announced departure of the CFO in January adds to uncertainty.

** SoFi Technologies (SOFI) -6%**
Dropped after announcing a public offering of 54.5M shares at $27.50, aiming to raise $1.5B to strengthen its equity.

** DocuSign (DOCU) -6%**
Solid results but forecasts slightly below consensus, especially for subscription revenue and expected billings for Q4.

Rating Changes

Upgrades

  • Apa Corporation ($APA) → Upgraded from Hold to Accumulate at Johnson Rice. Target raised from $35 to $40.

  • Commercial Metals ($CMC) → JP Morgan upgrades to Overweight from Neutral. Target price: $78 (vs. $64).

  • Humana Inc. ($HUM) → Jefferies upgrades to Buy (from Hold), target raised to $313 (vs. $253).

  • Mp Materials ($MP) → Morgan Stanley upgrades to Overweight and targets $71 (vs. $68.50).

  • National Storage Affiliates ($NSA) → Morgan Stanley upgrades to Market Weight (from Underweight), target: $32.

  • Rollins ($ROL) → Barclays upgrades to Overweight, target price: $72 (vs. $60).

  • Unity Software ($U) → Wells Fargo upgrades to Overweight and targets $51 (vs. $42).

  • Ge Vernova Inc. → Coverage initiated at Buy by William O'Neil & Co.

Neutral

  • Apple Inc. ($AAPL) → Maintained at Accumulate by CLSA, target raised to $330 (vs. $265).

  • Ciena Corp. ($CIEN) → JP Morgan remains Overweight, target increased to $215 (vs. $140).

  • Coherent Corp. ($COHR) → Jefferies remains Buy, target adjusted to $205 (vs. $160).

  • Lumentum Holdings ($LITE) → JP Morgan remains Overweight, target: $350 (vs. $235).

  • Macy's ($M) → Evercore ISI remains In-line, target raised to $21 (vs. $14).

  • Marvell Technology ($MRVL) → Maintained at Buy by CITIC Securities, target: $120 (vs. $87).

  • SentinelOne ($S) → Citizens remains Market Outperform, target lowered to $23 (vs. $29).

  • Strategy Inc. → Cantor Fitzgerald maintains Overweight but cuts the target from $560 to $229.

Downgrades

  • ConocoPhillips ($COP) → Johnson Rice downgrades to Hold, target reduced to $105 (vs. $108).

  • Mid-America Apartment ($MAA) → Scotiabank downgrades to Sector Perform, target lowered to $142 (vs. $146).

  • Newmont Corporation ($NEM) → BNP Paribas downgrades to Neutral, target at $97 (vs. $107).

  • Robert Half ($RHI) → BNP Paribas downgrades to Underperform, target drastically lowered to $22 (vs. $42).

  • Synchrony Financial ($SYF) → Baird downgrades to Neutral (from Outperform), target: $82.

Have a great session, everyone
Sylvain Mouilhaud: Stock Coach

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