Monday, December 15 – Volatility Concerns
** Volatility to Watch:**
- Very active options on: Bloom Energy (BE), Hut 8 Corp. (HUT)
- Overbought (RSI 14d): CapsoVision (CV), MAGH, Photronics (PLAB)
- Oversold (RSI 14d): American Bitcoin (ABTC), Lakeland (LAKE), Rezolute (RZLT)
** Expected Earnings:**
- Credo (CRDO), MongoDB (MDB), SimulationsPlus (SLP), Vestis (VSTS)
** IPO Watch:**
- Debut: Medline (MDLN)
- End of lock-up: Slide Insurance (SLDE), Enigmatig (EGG)
- End of quiet period: Central BanCo (CBC), Gloo Holdings (GLOO)
** Notable Dividends:**
- Domino’s Pizza (DPZ), Devon Energy (DVN), FedEx (FDX), Disney (DIS)
** Key Events:**
- NYC Summit 2025 (semiconductors) featuring ACMR, AEIS, FORM
- 10:30: John Williams (Fed NY) speaks on growth
Tuesday, December 16 – Data & Earnings
** Expected Earnings:**
- Lennar (LEN), Duluth Holdings (DLTH)
** Macro Indicators (2:30pm):**
- Average Hourly Earnings m/m
- Core Retail Sales m/m
- Retail Sales m/m
- Unemployment Rate
** PMI Flash (3:45pm):**
- Flash Manufacturing PMI
- Flash Services PMI
** Investor Events:**
- Conferences: SunPower, Asure Software, Calix (Northland)
- Investor Days: Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG), Vital Farms (VITL), Cisco (CSCO), Affirm (AFRM), Neurocrine (NBIX)
** Other Highlights:**
- 8:00: Pfizer (PFE) – 2026 Guidance
- 8:30: Employment Report Oct/Nov (~+50K expected)
- 2:00pm: CII Webinar on Tesla, Texas Law, and Governance
Wednesday, December 17 – Central Bank Day
** Expected Earnings:**
- Micron (MU), Jabil (JBL), General Mills (GIS), Spire (SPIR)
🎙 Fed Speeches:
- John Williams (Fed NY) – FX Market Conference
- Raphael Bostic (Fed Atlanta) – Economic Outlook
** Business Update:**
- Phillips Edison (PECO)
Thursday, December 18 – Inflation & Packed Earnings Day
** Expected Earnings:**
- Accenture (ACN), Nike (NKE), FedEx (FDX), CarMax (KMX), Darden Restaurants (DRI)
- High Expectations: BlackBerry (BB), Scholastic (SCHL)
** Economic Indicators (2:30pm):**
- CPI y/y
- Core CPI m/m
- CPI m/m
- Unemployment Claims
- Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
** ECB:**
- 7:45am: Monetary Policy Statement
- 8:30am: Christine Lagarde press conference
Friday, December 19 – Triple Witching & Box Office
** Expected Earnings:**
- Carnival (CCL), Conagra Brands (CAG), Victoria’s Secret (VSCO)
** Macro Data (4:00pm):**
- Existing Home Sales
- Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
** Triple Witching Day:**
- Expiration: stock options, index futures, index options
- Increased volatility expected
🛢 Oil Market:
- Expiration of WTI January futures
** Other Events:**
- Shareholder vote: STAAR Surgical on Alcon offer
- Movie release: Avatar: Fire and Ash (impact $AMC, $CNK, $IMAX)
