This is the logo and if clicked redirect you to home page
Trending News
July 11, 2025 - Third Party

Crypto Pumps and Timing - July 11

Analysis of the July 11, 2025 Crypto Pump: Timing, Market, and Active Management Strategies

On July 11, 2025, just before the symbolic date of July 14, the cryptocurrency market experienced a remarkable bullish momentum, confirming the anticipated pump. This movement, echoing patterns seen in 2024, marks a gradual exit from a consolidation phase. Bitcoin (BTC) reached new all-time highs (ATH), Ethereum (ETH) broke out of a stagnation zone, and the total altcoin market capitalization (Total 3, excluding BTC and ETH) surpassed $850 billion. In this article, we analyze this pump, its origins, the performance of major cryptos (BTC, ETH, BNB, Cake, Hyperliquid), and active management strategies to profit while managing risks.

Market Context: An Explosive End of Consolidation

For several weeks, the crypto market was locked in a consolidation phase with compressed prices and low volatility. While this period concerned some investors three weeks ago, it set the stage for a bullish impulse. According to Binance Research for July 2025, the global crypto market rebounded 30% in July, led by Bitcoin and Ethereum, with a total capitalization reaching $3.36 trillion. This resilience is due to several macroeconomic and technical factors:

  • Institutional demand: Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $4.49 billion and $1.16 billion respectively in July, confirming growing institutional interest. BlackRock holds about 709,806 BTC, reinforcing Bitcoin's status as a strategic asset.
  • Macroeconomics and geopolitics: Uncertainties from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and tariff announcements by President Trump (40% on imports from certain countries from August 1) have driven investors to Bitcoin as a safe haven. BTC exchange reserves dropped to 2.99 million, signaling strong accumulation.
  • Market sentiment: A post on X from July 11 reported massive short liquidations (over $1 billion in 24 hours), boosting the bullish momentum, with Bitcoin hitting a new ATH at $116,800 and Ethereum surpassing $3,000.

This combination of factors allowed the market to break out of its slumber, with exploding volumes and a generalized recovery.

Main Asset Performances

Bitcoin (BTC): A New ATH at $116,800

Bitcoin, the uncontested leader with 52% dominance, broke a new record at $116,800 according to posts on X. This move fits a continuing bullish trend in Q2 2025 (+14.08% in April, +10.99% in May, +2.67% in June). Technically, BTC is above its exponential moving averages (20, 50, 100, 200 days), with immediate support at $107,500. Breaking $115,000–120,000 is expected for July, fueled by high volume and a bullish MACD.

Ethereum (ETH): Breakout at $3,000

Ethereum also made headlines by surpassing $3,000 after consolidating between $2,400 and $2,630. This level, reached on July 11, was my short-term target shared in my Wednesday YouTube video. Key resistance is between $2,800 and $2,900, with a first take-profit (TP1) at $3,100 for my active position. The CoinMarketCap Q2 2025 report highlights ETH's performance (+36.1% this quarter), driven by the Pectra upgrade and increasing DeFi and Layer 2 adoption. However, ETH remains volatile, and a correction is possible if the $2,800 resistance isn't convincingly surpassed.

Total 3: Altcoins in Full Euphoria

Total 3, representing the capitalization of altcoins excluding BTC and ETH, surpassed $850 billion, confirming a broad recovery. This dynamic is supported by altcoins like:

  • BNB: The BNB Chain evolved from a meme-focused narrative to a more balanced ecosystem, integrating infrastructure and community projects. A BNB treasury company project, backed by Changpeng Zhao's family, targets a US stock market listing, boosting confidence.
  • Cake (PancakeSwap): Though less publicized, Cake benefits from the DEX craze on BNB Chain, with strong technical setups.
  • Hyperliquid (HYPE): This Layer 2 token, focused on liquidity for the metaverse and GameFi, saw its volume explode (~$650 billion in Q2). Despite a 55% correction from its ATH to the current $1.19, it remains attractive for traders seeking high-potential projects.

Active Management Strategies: Staying Calm and Gradual

In the face of this pump, active management is key to maximizing gains while limiting risks. Here are the principles applied on July 11:

  1. Gradual lightening: After the pump, I reduced some positions, notably ETH near $3,000, to lock in profits. This frees up cash for future opportunities, especially in case of corrections.
  2. Patience on take-profits: On ETH, an important position remains open, with TP1 at $3,100. Discipline is crucial to avoid giving in to euphoria.
  3. Market psychology: Three weeks ago, panic dominated during the market low. Now, excessive optimism must be tempered. Keeping a cool head is essential to avoid impulsive decisions.
  4. Tactical diversification: Bullish setups on BNB, Cake, and Hyperliquid have been exploited, but with adjusted risk settings to anticipate possible post-pump volatility.

This approach allowed capitalization on the movement while preparing the portfolio for possible consolidations. As Binance Research notes, selectivity and caution regarding volatility are essential in this maturing market phase.

Outlook for July 14 and Beyond

The July 14 timing, considered a potential inflection point due to similarities with 2024, seems to be confirmed. However, several catalysts may shape the market's direction in the coming days:

  • Fed decisions: A possible rate cut could amplify rotation into risk assets like altcoins.
  • Approval of staking for ETH ETFs: This could reignite Ethereum's momentum.
  • Geopolitical volatility: Ongoing tensions could further reinforce Bitcoin’s safe haven status.

Analysts forecast a total capitalization of $4.5 trillion by the end of Q3 2025, with Bitcoin potentially at $141,800 and Ethereum at $5,000–6,000. However, a consolidation below $500 billion for Total 3 remains possible if current levels are rejected.

Conclusion

The July 11, 2025 pump marks a turning point for the crypto market, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading, followed by promising altcoins such as BNB, Cake, and Hyperliquid. By adopting rigorous active management — progressive lightening, discipline on targets, and psychological control — investors can leverage this momentum while preparing for possible corrections. As July 14 approaches, the market remains under close watch, offering opportunities but also risks to navigate with caution. Stay calm, stay strategic, and may the trend be with you!

Xavier Fenaux
July 11, 2025

Back to the News