
Back in Action and Focus on the Markets
Hello everyone! It's Monday, August 25th, it's 6:30am, and I hope you're all doing well and feeling energetic for this fresh start. Welcome to this Morning Mood after a few days off. As I told you this summer, I didn't take many vacations, but these few days did me a world of good. Sometimes it's psychologically tough to let go, but thanks to your encouraging messages—thank you!—I took the leap. Honestly, it really recharged my batteries. Strength and honor to those who are getting back to work today, this week, or next week. Enjoy if you're still on holiday, otherwise let's get back to it full force!
Today I'm going to share my perspective on the markets, with a bit of distance after this break. Even though, when it's your job, you never fully leave the screens, I cut down on operations to focus on what matters: being more focused, sharing, and guiding through social networks. The idea? Become a better version of yourself—do better, not just more.
Mindset in Trading: Less is More
Let’s talk markets. Many people think trading is simple: buy low, sell high. Wrong! Or go all-in and bet your whole capital every day to perform. Absolutely not! The more you do, the worse you feel—it’s actually the opposite. Trading is about a global vision and balanced management. Everything depends on your resources: with a small account, you can’t diversify like with a million, but the core rules remain the same.
Look at Warren Buffett: when markets drop, he doubles down on good habits. No matter where you start, you have to internalize good practices early. It's just like running: if you aim for a 100km ultra-trail but you don't have habits for running 5km or even 1km (warm-up, etc.), it won’t work. Basics first!
And goals? We often set goals that are too ambitious, like making €2,000 per week (just a random number), but we put pressure on the result, not the process. But really, it all starts with the process: your daily habits that build success.
Jackson Hole: The Fed Reassures the Markets
Back to recent markets. Late last week, Jackson Hole—the big central banks meeting—reassured everyone. Jerome Powell confirmed it: US jobs numbers are really bad (I’ve been telling you this for weeks!). The Fed is looking at mainly two things: employment and inflation.
Jobs are doing terribly, so a rate cut is warranted. But inflation had ticked up, holding the Fed back. The latest numbers show it’s easing, though still above 2%. In my opinion, it’ll stay that way for months, maybe years. Central banks might even raise their target to 2.2% or 2.3% to boost growth without price surges.
Powell said it all: “Yeah, employment is weakening, inflation is calming down, we’ll adjust.” Result? Markets responded positively, with contained volatility. No panic, just anticipation of a rate cut in September.
Getting Back in Rhythm: Goals and Habits
After a break, you need to ease back in without pushing too hard. Vacation relaxes your routine: you miss a workout or a market check, no big deal once. But don’t let it become a habit! So, let’s get the basics back.
Here’s my proposal: three daily goals. Simple, to rebuild discipline. For example:
- Personal goal: Zero alcohol (yes, you can be happy without!).
- Health/Sport goal: Read 30 pages a day (morning, noon, evening—not while driving!).
- Work goal: Scan the markets (MM50H4 filter on cryptos, check current positions).
Adapt these for yourself! Why? Habits form in about 30 days. After a month, it’s set in your mind and body.
Expand this to weekly or monthly for broader goals (e.g., school supplies if you have kids, or an overall view of market positions). I have my chart in my office: check off each day. And after 30 days? A reward! A family outing, new running shoes, whatever you want. Gives you a carrot to stay on track without cheating.
In the markets, get back into rhythm gradually: scan, check stats, but there’s no need to open new positions today. The key? Stick to your goals for steady progress.
Conclusion: Move Forward with Discipline
Time flies—especially with kids, it's x10! Let’s take the opportunity to look back and adjust. This Morning Mood is a comeback: thank you for your loyalty! We’ll do a review in 30 days to see what these goals brought us.
Have a great return if you're starting back, otherwise enjoy. Have a great day, great week. Ciao!